Several-Muskrat
0xcba1f728b51bac93b6ba99c6a3404186be8e25d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$136.11
Total PnL
$-989.83
Realised
$313.75
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
112 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$111.95
$68.29
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
32 shares @ 26.6¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.33
$13.72
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
174 shares @ 44.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.83
$-75.75
- YES
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
1279 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.97
- YES
Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?
1033 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?
955 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?
786 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.31
- YES
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?
698 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.99
- NO
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?
503 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-245.30
- YES
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
440 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$6.85Apr 13, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$128.27Apr 1, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?$7.00Apr 1, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?$9.00Mar 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?$26.28Feb 23, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$44.30Feb 18, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB dip to $800 in January?$32.97Feb 9, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?$99.04Feb 9, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLInfinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?$13.18Jan 27, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethena dip to $0.20 in January?$16.95Jan 20, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$1.31Jan 18, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$29.86Jan 15, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?$59.44Jan 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$41.36Jan 13, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$44.45Jan 13, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$18.32Jan 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$19.38Jan 12, 17:21 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$25.00Jan 8, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$19.75Jan 8, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $200M one day after launch?$103.28Jan 7, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $27.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".