Variable-Dimension
0xcbadceafb24c0a5f1d2ec848fe8523361a17c86e
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$38.20
Total PnL
$5.21
Realised
$1.75
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
400 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.40
$-1.90
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
249 shares @ 0.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.48
$5.94
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.50
$2.50
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
280 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.46
$4.34
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
447 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.57
$2.38
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
326 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$-2.80
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
273 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.67
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
405 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.61
$-0.61
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
593 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-5.10
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
93 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$3.64May 18, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$0.04May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$0.04May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$0.04May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$0.04May 18, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$0.04May 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$0.04May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$0.04May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 20?$0.08May 17, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 7?$0.00May 15, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 7?$0.00May 15, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00May 15, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 7?$0.00May 15, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$101.00May 10, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 7?$0.19May 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 7?$0.81May 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$5.87May 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$18.63May 7, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$0.47May 7, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$4.80May 7, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".