Back-Roast
0xcc237489b9ba9be2e26242af5914f07696838bc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$55.91
Total PnL
$-332.85
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
150 shares @ 70.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.00
$-81.00
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
61 shares @ 40.5¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.99
$-6.71
- YES
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
61 shares @ 23.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.80
$-5.16
- YES
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
200 shares @ 12.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$3.70
$-21.30
- YES
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
150 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.43
$-13.77
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on April 24?
300 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-111.00
- NO
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
250 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
200 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-24.45
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on April 27?
150 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?
55 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.83
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.57May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.00May 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$6.80May 15, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$8.50May 15, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.80May 15, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$8.00May 15, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$8.20May 15, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.84May 15, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.56May 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$38.76May 14, 22:21 UTC
- REWARD$4.84May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$34.00May 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$17.00May 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$58.63May 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$7.99May 13, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$19.19May 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$5.82May 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$33.99May 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$34.50May 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$35.00May 13, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".