Improbable-Vet
0xccee296875d26712c2f1f5e03b050d36a70ff36d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$18.98
Total PnL
$-478.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4379 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.33
$-14.67
- YES
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
974 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$3.41
$-6.30
- YES
Will Kevin Durant win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
84 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.13
$-4.73
- YES
Will Deni Avdija win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
236 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.12
$-9.59
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
10385 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
9928 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-138.99
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
1152 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHouthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$0.12May 3, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.49Apr 22, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.12Apr 22, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.15Apr 22, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.71Apr 22, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?$10.00Apr 21, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?$10.00Apr 21, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Durant win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?$5.00Apr 21, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.00Apr 21, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$36.77Apr 20, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$15.00Apr 18, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".