Our-Carload
0xcd09c7f5132a160b41578a79a9e3453da7aeda63
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$75.6K
Total PnL
$-24.6K
Realised
$42.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
550254 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.8K
$-24.5K
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
5367 shares @ 63.9¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$-128.43
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
6378 shares @ 25.8¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$461.92
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
9494 shares @ 18.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-488.66
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
734 shares @ 6.2¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$65.71
$19.85
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
45 shares @ 73.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.23
$8.28
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
93 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?$7.94May 4, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?$32.40May 4, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$12.48May 2, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.40May 2, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.18May 2, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$19.24May 2, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.00May 2, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.27May 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.00May 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.00May 1, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.40May 1, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.22May 1, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.22May 1, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.03May 1, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.24May 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.44May 1, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.54May 1, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.41May 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.00May 1, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $14.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".