Parched-Fool
0xcd35479c939dff8829ac8fd6d07d3acdf21421de
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$578.95
Total PnL
$-97.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
318 shares @ 84.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.74
$-31.26
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
235 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.88
$5.88
- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?
70 shares @ 71.8¢·now 74.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$51.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
121 shares @ 66.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.21
$-43.78
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
28 shares @ 88.6¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.53
$-10.47
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
27 shares @ 88.7¢·now 51.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.85
$-10.15
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
31 shares @ 32.6¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.36
$-2.64
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.74
$-3.26
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.41
$-1.59
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.73
$-1.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$831.66May 18, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$830.12May 17, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$868.11May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$851.24May 14, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$854.27May 14, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$850.30May 13, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?$854.27May 13, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?$850.30May 12, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$845.07May 12, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$840.35May 10, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$845.89May 10, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$844.13May 9, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?$844.53May 8, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?$842.18May 7, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$842.16May 7, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$837.37May 6, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?$832.29May 6, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?$811.56May 3, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?$814.07May 3, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?$810.29May 3, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $484.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".