Afraid-Trout
0xcd3c9ec99edd66005879d26ecc37e72bc761a801
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$962.08
Realised
$-121.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
86005 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.1K
$880.95
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1462 shares @ 68.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$352.45
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24130 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$25.55
- YES
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$950.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42993 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$537.41
$-19.00
- YES
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
55556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$472.22
$-27.78
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26786 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$468.76
$-60.16
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
481 shares @ 52.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$358.17
$108.17
- YES
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
1322 shares @ 15.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$73.39
$-126.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.60May 18, 00:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.77May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$8.55May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$262.10May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$137.86May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$12.20May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$32.29May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$217.29May 16, 22:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.60May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$206.79May 11, 03:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.63May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.63May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.65May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $236.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".