Vivacious-Recognition
0xcd44b27c94edf3e1fbe0c4a66f6d61b64638f151
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$392.02
Total PnL
$-776.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
199 shares @ 62.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$194.85
$69.85
- NO
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?
87 shares @ 57.2¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.84
$32.84
- NO
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
205 shares @ 29.3¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$37.88
$-22.12
- YES
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
66 shares @ 38.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$21.38
$-3.62
- NO
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
330 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$19.80
$-13.20
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
582 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
232 shares @ 2.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$15.56
$10.56
- YES
Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
2044 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
1810 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-275.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$146.30May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$151.89May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$155.38May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$185.71May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$192.98May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$228.40May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$240.49May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$259.72May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$285.71May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$382.81May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$76.21May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$83.33May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$92.54May 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$93.75May 17, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$10.48May 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$31.35May 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$25.47May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $50.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".