Thrifty-Brow
0xcd4b91ffb66511c20d92f9f8a257247b15408aa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$17.2K
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$-832.40
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
18445 shares @ 89.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.2K
$681.28
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
39335 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-392.41
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
28602 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
17057 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-293.21
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?
1781 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-798.99
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?
1335 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-206.74
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Predators
1000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-570.00
- LOUISVILLE
Clemson vs. Louisville
750 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-412.50
- STARS
Islanders vs. Stars
500 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-315.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$8.82May 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$8.82May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$30.47May 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$2.2KMay 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$14.3KMay 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$87.25May 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$12.3KApr 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$14.8KApr 9, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?$7.4KApr 9, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$15.0KApr 9, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$617.84Mar 29, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$4.0KMar 29, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.54Mar 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$840.99Mar 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.30Mar 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$14.56Mar 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$122.47Mar 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$4.24Mar 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$49.54Mar 29, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.34Mar 29, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".