Sorrowful-Cephalopod
0xcd62a43837be9506ef1b29c8690ddefcdbdf9fe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-9.30
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$987.50
$13.50
- NO
OKX IPO in 2026?
500 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$447.50
$52.50
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 49.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$318.74
$73.75
- YES
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?
304 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$303.63
$31.92
- YES
Was Trump hacked?
11856 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-993.97
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1503 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1428 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-90.37
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-456.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
317 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.22May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.28May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.11May 16, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.70May 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.60May 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.59May 12, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 12, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.05May 11, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 11, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.75May 10, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?$213.26May 9, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?$501.58May 9, 23:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 9, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $357.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".