Likable-Anticipation
0xcd68d3d7ae2ed0fde6bb989cbe47a3b96e7acdd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-694.66
Realised
$-30.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
839 shares @ 76.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$839.00
$199.68
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
649 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$648.68
$0.32
- NO
Will Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week?
552 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$552.00
$71.76
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
264 shares @ 42.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$264.00
$152.59
- NO
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?
266 shares @ 29.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$168.91
$91.77
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 74.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.83
$12.47
- YES
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 55.1¢·now 42.2¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$57.81
$-17.67
- OVER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
2650 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
359 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-93.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?$65.55Apr 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$29.40Apr 11, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$297.60Apr 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$288.00Apr 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?$53.82Apr 10, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.34Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$41.16Apr 10, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$75.49Apr 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$66.78Apr 9, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$101.43Apr 9, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$819.84Apr 7, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week?$480.24Apr 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSHEIN IPO before 2027?$216.27Apr 7, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?$639.32Apr 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?$4.20Mar 31, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?$108.15Mar 31, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GERB-SDS win between 65-69 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$125.40Mar 30, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?$410.48Mar 30, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?$420.00Mar 30, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?$429.52Mar 30, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $230.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".