Quizzical-Satin
0xcd805e1720fddea4b1874a2fb790916146967e2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-358.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
304 shares @ 91.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$277.67
$0.77
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
258 shares @ 93.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$254.00
$13.80
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
221 shares @ 59.7¢·now 52.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.37
$-15.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
114 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.56
$0.57
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1410 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$91.65
$-175.85
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
66 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$65.93
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
58 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$57.69
$-0.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
60 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.10
$2.70
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
54 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$53.97
$1.32
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
50 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.63
$0.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$28.98May 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$23.90May 15, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$106.68May 15, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)$8.00May 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$0.42May 15, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$31.04May 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$33.60May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$65.93May 15, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$52.74May 15, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$58.04May 15, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $63.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 03:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".