Afraid-Preparation
0xcd8f046d7e9375efee96026473dd656ec78c1f24
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$152.39
Total PnL
$-0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.55
$48.55
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in May?
20 shares @ 94.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$18.39
$-0.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.99
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 18?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.97
$0.01
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.45
$-48.55
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.05
$0.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?$11.00May 18, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?$11.00May 18, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?$201.00May 18, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?$11.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?$11.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?$11.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?$10.98May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 18?$10.98May 18, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of April 27 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 11 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of April 27 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of April 27 2026?$0.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.91May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 17?$212.26May 17, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 17?$196.64May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 17?$79.92May 17, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 17?$196.45May 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 17?$83.60May 17, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 17?$10.99May 17, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $115.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".