Loyal-Speakerphone
0xcd9607c4a676b7815f10bb8bc25355414e47cbdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$459.97
Realised
$207.56
Win rate
86%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5000 shares @ 90.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$121.04
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
800 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$762.81
$3.60
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
600 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.00
$3.00
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
411 shares @ 75.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$290.04
$-20.48
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
500 shares @ 50.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$252.72
$-1.23
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
150 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.65
$12.09
- NO
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
120 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$111.18
$0.22
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
150 shares @ 59.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.00
$10.50
- NO
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
115 shares @ 73.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$94.94
$9.88
- NO
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
96 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$92.76
$1.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$1.42May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$5.45May 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.87May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$46.01May 18, 02:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $6B one day after launch?$7.33May 17, 06:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$96.30May 16, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$262.36May 16, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$262.36May 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$23.70May 16, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$97.80May 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$77.26May 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$1.11May 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.56May 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.52May 15, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?$1.38May 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$2.99May 15, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$145.69May 15, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $48.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".