Close-Inflation
0xcd9846970d9c54008c93729f5116af36a033129c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$441.62
Total PnL
$6.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.50
$55.50
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
107 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$106.98
$6.98
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.50
$-55.50
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$15.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$10.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$9.16
$-0.84
Recent activity
- SPLITWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$300.00May 16, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.09May 16, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.20May 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$15.00May 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$100.33May 16, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$0.00May 16, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$0.00May 16, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$0.00May 16, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 16, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$8.82May 16, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWild vs. Blue Jackets$9.81May 16, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$11.90May 16, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$21.00May 16, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$276.66May 16, 19:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 30, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.66Jan 29, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.34Jan 29, 04:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 29, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 28, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 27, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $36.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".