Arid-Geek
0xcd9cb35ef95be58d75e8a6a0d68b8ed599e49b0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$295.40
Total PnL
$-289.95
Realised
$100.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$147.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.00
$10.00
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.31
$-29.69
- NO
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
76 shares @ 10.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.09
$4.53
- YES
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
600 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?
600 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-101.99
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?
400 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$110.00May 15, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$2.2KApr 19, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.25Mar 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$1.52Mar 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$5.46Mar 10, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$18.50Mar 8, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.25Mar 8, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$2.40Mar 4, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.78Mar 4, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.68Mar 4, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.47Mar 3, 02:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Mar 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.42Mar 2, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.42Mar 2, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.45Mar 2, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.45Mar 2, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$0.42Mar 2, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$5.56Mar 2, 00:18 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Mar 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$55.04Mar 1, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $9.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".