0xcda4925bee5b2bacd8ba056bd6e7e5a01e8e1d82
0xcda4925bee5b2bacd8ba056bd6e7e5a01e8e1d82
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$18.0K
Total PnL
$18.34
Realised
$86.15
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
980 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$980.43
$68.63
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
955 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$955.16
$67.81
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
922 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$921.66
$19.08
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
909 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$908.93
$31.81
- NO
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
939 shares @ 81.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$899.10
$134.04
- YES
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
885 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$885.46
$77.70
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
967 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$865.72
$-33.85
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
920 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$832.67
$78.21
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
909 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$813.76
$59.30
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
843 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$788.24
$88.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$22.86May 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$19.81May 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$41.46May 14, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$66.40May 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$28.27May 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$189.20May 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$118.38May 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$265.87May 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?$53.98May 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$101.71May 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$96.01May 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$71.51May 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$61.24May 13, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: April$686.85May 13, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$242.38May 13, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$360.76May 13, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$482.16May 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$34.12May 13, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$365.90May 11, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$67.45May 11, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $340.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".