Fresh-Exception
0xcdaf8397c8261e23f5ff18cde78441e39258eff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-26.33
Realised
$140.40
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
750 shares @ 46.2¢·now 58.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$437.22
$90.78
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
500 shares @ 60.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$292.50
$-10.91
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
366 shares @ 59.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$243.60
$26.26
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
430 shares @ 51.7¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$210.59
$-11.64
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
342 shares @ 47.3¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$146.86
$-14.75
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
430 shares @ 34.4¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$136.09
$-11.76
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
750 shares @ 36.5¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$102.75
$-170.83
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
60 shares @ 30.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$45.90
$27.74
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 44.1¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$31.55
$-12.55
- YES
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
114 shares @ 46.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.65
$-42.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$750.00May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$132.16May 17, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$400.00May 17, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.0KMay 17, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$107.79May 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$5.19May 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$99.27May 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$53.90May 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$48.40May 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$59.73May 9, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?$9.98May 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?$65.00May 6, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$2.62May 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$32.45May 6, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$17.55May 5, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$45.09May 5, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$5.45May 5, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?$19.77May 5, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$49.31May 5, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$20.48May 5, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $41.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".