Juicy-Exasperation
0xcdbbc7d422559fdf61c84727a71a6a37f5444124
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$194.94
Total PnL
$-155.67
Realised
$4.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
107 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$67.66
$2.66
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
189 shares @ 26.4¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$46.12
$-3.88
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.34
$0.34
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 17.9¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
88 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.47
$-1.53
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.59
$-3.41
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$10.37May 17, 21:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$10.31May 14, 03:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)$9.98May 11, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30May 11, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 11, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 11, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 11, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 11, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)$10.28May 11, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$10.00May 10, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 10, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?$10.36May 10, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $14.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".