Knobby-Boat
0xcdbc69eb662396d5a1877b7fe5063c2cb898f38b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
170
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-30.7K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
27%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
59058 shares @ 12.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$-2.4K
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
117248 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$-2.6K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
11111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$494.44
$-505.54
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
4706 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$352.94
$-447.05
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$310.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
219943 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$109.97
$-4.5K
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
1000000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
183420 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
159202 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
110748 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$800.00May 12, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1000.00May 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$821.31May 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.2KMay 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$201.40May 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$798.60May 12, 16:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$2.05May 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.6KMay 10, 14:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$17.13May 9, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.5KMay 9, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.5KMay 9, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $506.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".