Hoarse-Evening
0xcdbc6babda50a17ea66db4ec58e6bd94d719cb61
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-205.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
2060 shares @ 77.2¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.6K
$6.92
- YES
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
1184 shares @ 65.4¢·now 64.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$758.04
$-16.30
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1112 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$705.89
$-16.61
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
789 shares @ 63.7¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$502.99
$0.39
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1847 shares @ 24.2¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$459.07
$12.12
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
309 shares @ 38.8¢·now 38.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$117.99
$-2.01
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$88.16
$-11.84
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.86
$-82.14
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
204 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.57
$-5.43
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
12 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$387.92May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$8.90May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$27.60May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$648.79May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$56.86May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$6.90May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$6.90May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$509.89May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$389.23May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$731.60May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$17.40May 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.2KMay 16, 22:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $116.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".