Dirty-Birdwatcher
0xcdc0f64c8de7c3c5ab2a49ff4af4162cee5adcd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$15.3K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
68%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
3071 shares @ 84.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.4K
$-175.59
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
6577 shares @ 31.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.3K
$-709.09
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2149 shares @ 69.2¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.3K
$-176.88
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1500 shares @ 87.2¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.2K
$-67.25
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$785.01
$-55.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
2544 shares @ 44.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$775.89
$-365.37
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$775.00
$-55.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
1220 shares @ 86.9¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$695.22
$-364.91
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
955 shares @ 67.1¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$625.22
$-15.32
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3580 shares @ 36.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$554.88
$-738.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.31May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$16.27May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$26.21May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$13.60May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$52.04May 18, 04:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.38May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$80.89May 17, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$53.72May 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$359.00May 17, 11:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$125.94May 15, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$64.00May 15, 16:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 15, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.56May 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.94May 13, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$187.00May 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$187.00May 13, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $83.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".