0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec
0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$170.51
Total PnL
$-3.36
Realised
$4.21
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
1910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$65.89
$63.53
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
19660 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.83
$-9.83
- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
19060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.53
$-9.53
- YES
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
19000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
18980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.49
$-9.49
- YES
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
17065 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.53
$-8.53
- YES
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11144 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.57
$-5.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
1178 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.30
$4.12
- YES
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
2061 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.15
$1.03
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Darrell Jones win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.44May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darrell Jones win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.56May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giovanni Andrea Martini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$0.79May 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$0.00May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harman Bhangu win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.72May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierangelo Del Zotto win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$1.00May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$0.96May 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$0.03May 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$1.00May 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.00May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.58May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.10May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.00May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.00May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.03May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 18, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".