Monumental-Diarist
0xcdfdb699776138fa2e6ad89442cb486bd31d8b51
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-697.68
Realised
$-100.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
600 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.00
$27.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
900 shares @ 22.9¢·now 32.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$295.65
$89.54
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
500 shares @ 28.2¢·now 39.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$196.50
$55.53
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 10.6¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$139.00
$33.00
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
300 shares @ 48.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$124.50
$-19.50
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
300 shares @ 39.8¢·now 35.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.40
$-11.99
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
1200 shares @ 14.5¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$84.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
900 shares @ 11.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$75.15
$-31.95
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
400 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
110 shares @ 31.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$47.85
$13.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$12.48May 7, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.14May 7, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$5.95May 5, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$29.09May 5, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$51.81May 5, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$13.09May 5, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.25May 5, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".