Sparkling-Bother
0xce08c8409d7bd3582a1763af9de885fab3b628bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$-98.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
2300 shares @ 35.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$1.5K
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
706 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$603.53
$3.53
- NO
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
610 shares @ 89.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$570.29
$26.25
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 26.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$485.00
$225.00
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
500 shares @ 54.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$302.50
$32.50
- NO
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
230 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$214.83
$14.83
- NO
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.17
$5.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$527.43May 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.15May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.32May 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.54May 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$133.85May 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.18May 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$26.32May 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$133.85May 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$8.41May 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$26.59May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.29May 15, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.27May 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.53May 15, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.07May 15, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.97May 15, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.10May 15, 00:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.34May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.10May 15, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $56.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".