Disguised-Chest
0xce1495504d3249910c2c2fc800f96f97bb1de38f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$12.6K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$26.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
46652 shares @ 10.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.5K
$-204.61
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18107 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-59.23
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
83848 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-249.45
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9318 shares @ 16.2¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-226.69
- YES
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
112526 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-179.14
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
85490 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$983.14
$-513.45
- YES
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100908 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$958.62
$-252.27
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
25856 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$553.31
$-150.17
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$110.25
$-15.25
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$75.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.89May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.90May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.90May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.89May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.88May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.89May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.89May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.94May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$57.13May 10, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$27.10May 10, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29.03May 10, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$169.88May 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$85.51May 10, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$93.86May 10, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$342.23May 10, 15:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.94May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.94May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.94May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.92May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.92May 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $61.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".