0xce159ecccbd4ffef2ad90c018e1e9be21d3189cd
0xce159ecccbd4ffef2ad90c018e1e9be21d3189cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$598.57
Total PnL
$-418.67
Realised
$35.30
Win rate
60%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
198 shares @ 59.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$198.00
$80.06
- NO
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?
88 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$88.00
$27.28
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?
73 shares @ 85.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$58.03
$-4.64
- YES
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
51 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$51.22
$18.45
- YES
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of April 25?
46 shares @ 77.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$45.50
$10.25
- NO
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
42 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$41.99
$6.30
- NO
Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
39 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$39.00
$7.41
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
74 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$38.88
$-1.08
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.74
$5.98
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.00
$4.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00May 15, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.00May 15, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$0.00May 15, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00May 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00May 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?$0.00May 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$0.00May 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$0.00May 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of April 25?$0.00May 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00May 15, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?$0.00May 15, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00May 15, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$0.00May 14, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00May 14, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00May 14, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.00May 14, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".