0xce1d15f4ab2e11cca6fefe4fe7d70889e6531b9b
0xce1d15f4ab2e11cca6fefe4fe7d70889e6531b9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$35.2K
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$5.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
30781 shares @ 64.3¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.9K
$-872.98
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
50578 shares @ 57.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.9K
$-16.2K
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
20000 shares @ 14.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$-449.90
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?
242 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$231.51
$4.47
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?
230 shares @ 92.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$205.63
$-6.75
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?
169 shares @ 87.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$162.47
$15.18
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
159 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$156.51
$4.07
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?
87 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$85.97
$0.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$251.09May 18, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$888.59May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.8KMay 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$933.81May 18, 00:48 UTC
- REWARD$5.45May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$567.18May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3.94May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3.10May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$11.42May 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$14.26May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$49.60May 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$8.14May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$116.02May 17, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$18.60May 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.78May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$29.51May 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$8.16May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$18.14May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$8.16May 17, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3.27May 17, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $246.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".