0xce5b9b5f1b3dda7f0435529212be584a9a619ead
0xce5b9b5f1b3dda7f0435529212be584a9a619ead
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.64
Total PnL
$-1.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in May?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 10, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 9, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China increase rates in May?$1.05May 9, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".