0xce5bb1cee10806bb2601e6e785883b6c7c66ee17
0xce5bb1cee10806bb2601e6e785883b6c7c66ee17
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$664.09
Total PnL
$-400.45
Realised
$71.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4285 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$87.84
$22.77
- YES
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
540 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$72.88
$-24.29
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
284 shares @ 26.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$49.76
$-24.74
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
263 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.91
$13.78
- YES
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?
50 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$46.99
$0.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
234 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.04
$3.87
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
294 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.36
$-4.85
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1340 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.16
$-25.22
- YES
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
162 shares @ 46.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.32
$-46.96
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
201 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.14
$-25.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?$5.49May 15, 20:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?$9.99May 14, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?$3.62May 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$0.93May 14, 09:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gambling.com (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?$4.60May 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?$31.47May 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?$11.03May 13, 05:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00May 12, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$21.24May 12, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?$27.24May 12, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?$40.42May 12, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$0.87May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$6.50May 11, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $12.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".