Wasteful-Humanity
0xce71bed9dd1418abc34d244730879d795e8683bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$506.2K
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$-12.6K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
150000 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$143.2K
$1.6K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
118701 shares @ 90.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.2K
$2.3K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
80029 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$78.2K
$392.62
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
60000 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.1K
$100.08
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
32112 shares @ 76.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.8K
$3.4K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
24715 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$23.1K
$194.29
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
23181 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$17.7K
$345.54
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
15829 shares @ 91.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$11.6K
$-2.9K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15000 shares @ 72.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.4K
$-476.47
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
10000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.9K
$4.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$22.32May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$93.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$186.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$149.46May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$23.25May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$180.95May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$27.90May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$93.30May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$55.92May 18, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$19.80May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$54.99May 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$19.53May 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$114.92May 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6.80May 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$86.40May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$86.36May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$67.62May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$9.30May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$93.20May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$291.36May 18, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$47.5K
Trades
3
Buy share
61%
Window
May 17, 12:00 UTC → May 17, 18:13 UTC
- BUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$9.3K@93¢May 17, 18:13 UTC
- SELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.7K@95¢May 17, 13:41 UTC
- BUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.5K@98¢May 17, 11:51 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$47.5K
3 trades
30d volume
$47.5K
3 trades
Buy share
61%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
$38.2K · 80% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $123.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".