Fickle-Warning
0xce761a6a59e6d60700dc1855547625996abaace9
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$122.53
Total PnL
$0.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$121.97Nov 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$121.97Nov 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$122.23Nov 7, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$48.96Apr 10, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$44.88Apr 1, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$46.26Apr 1, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$71.90Apr 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$66.89Jan 29, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?$21.15Jan 29, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?$28.64Jan 29, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$46.06Jan 27, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?$49.00Jan 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$112.15Jan 22, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$112.38Jan 22, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?$8.45Jan 20, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?$4.07Jan 20, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?$13.00Jan 20, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLKaren Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?$10.35Jan 19, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high by March 31?$2.22Jan 19, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high by March 31?$2.74Jan 19, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $30.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".