Ill-Informed-Trolley
0xceabafdca846e7a31a00a55c089e3d3c0d14dce7
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$1.47
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
5631 shares @ 68.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.6K
$805.78
- YES
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
800 shares @ 78.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$731.56
$108.26
- NO
Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
1157 shares @ 45.2¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$624.92
$101.70
- YES
Will Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
909 shares @ 15.0¢·now 46.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$420.35
$283.93
- NO
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
1706 shares @ 38.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$298.60
$-359.57
- YES
Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
326 shares @ 70.1¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$265.44
$37.20
- NO
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
431 shares @ 39.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$217.54
$48.29
- YES
Will Fabinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
230 shares @ 83.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$215.05
$23.05
- NO
Will Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
400 shares @ 48.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$213.99
$22.00
- NO
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
804 shares @ 53.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$213.06
$-219.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Garner be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$84.00May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$171.93May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.92May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Paquetá be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.24May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$140.00May 18, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$142.00May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$38.00May 18, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$3.69May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$15.00May 18, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$15.00May 18, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$19.00May 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$168.00May 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Paquetá be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$27.19May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Igor Thiago be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.09May 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Igor Thiago be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$8.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$28.60May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.73May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$18.00May 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Paquetá be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$5.25May 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$23.10May 18, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $39.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".