Fat-Prisoner
0xceac992ddc3f31146fee2537c03e38aa85c11508
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$136.65
Total PnL
$-56.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Shelly deZevallos be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
98 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 26, 2026$95.40
$-0.15
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
41 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$41.25
$2.97
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 27?
191 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
155 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 22?
151 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 19-25?
139 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- NO
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?
136 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 23?
124 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28?
113 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 20?
112 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 28?$1.55Apr 27, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?$0.00Apr 27, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 18?$1.91Apr 17, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?$0.00Apr 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$38.28Mar 31, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $PENGUIN reach $200M in Q1?$1.29Mar 31, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?$0.00Mar 31, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 12-18?$0.00Mar 30, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 29?$1.89Mar 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?$1.40Mar 27, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$2.07Mar 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nepali Congress win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$1.44Mar 4, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shelly deZevallos be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?$95.55Mar 2, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 28 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?$98.89Mar 2, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?$2.33Feb 27, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 28 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?$96.22Feb 27, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?$3.33Feb 27, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?$2.71Feb 27, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 2 above $146?$102.26Feb 7, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 2 above $146?$99.09Feb 5, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $31.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".