Red-Quince
0xcecf865c90564beb5294a807bcf884fb644ee206
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-549.31
Realised
$-234.16
Win rate
47%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
9594 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$148.71
$-10.02
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5292 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$97.91
$-2.09
- YES
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
12857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$96.43
$6.43
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
6000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$93.00
$3.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$93.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
7316 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$91.46
$2.09
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
4286 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$87.86
$-2.14
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
3762 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$84.64
$-28.21
- YES
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
15785 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$55.25
$7.89
- YES
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
4270 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$53.37
$2.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.20May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.09May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.89May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.15May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.12May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.14May 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.56May 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.21May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.34May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.13May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.00May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.32May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.00May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.19May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.00May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.01May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.47May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.01May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.33May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.85May 18, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".