Primary-Illiteracy-Floodplain
0xcf017c040a616470ce479286c650eab998d03b2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-23.06
Realised
$6.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
6525 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.4K
$-29.34
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
28 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.87
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 21, 2026$25.97
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$24.99
$0.04
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$23.79
$-0.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 19?
23 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$22.90
$-0.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.96
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$19.99
$0.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
18 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.43
$0.04
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.74
$0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$11.00May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$14.23May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$23.95May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$10.98May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.71May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$17.42May 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21?$25.95May 18, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 19?$22.96May 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?$24.95May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?$20.98May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?$19.98May 18, 01:47 UTC
- REWARD$5.07May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 17?$27.00May 17, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?$22.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 17?$18.00May 17, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 17?$28.00May 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on May 17?$23.00May 17, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 17?$15.00May 17, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 17?$14.00May 17, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 17?$26.00May 17, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $347.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".