Hollow-Ceiling
0xcf05f142cdcc4a046c58ad238605ced909058b29
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$62.46
Total PnL
$-92.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.00
$20.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.27
$-7.73
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.25
$-5.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.24
$-5.96
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
5170 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-21.32
- ITALY
World Championships: Italy vs. Canada
104 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- OVER
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5
80 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.04
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.92
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?$50.00May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?$37.78May 17, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Canadiens$10.00May 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$3.97May 16, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$14.98May 16, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$14.29May 16, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$72.69May 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$73.23May 15, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Great Britain vs. Austria$2.86May 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Italy vs. Canada$1.28May 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.08May 15, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.24May 15, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.01May 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.02May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.02May 15, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.09May 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.03May 15, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.01May 15, 02:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".