Identical-Mole
0xcf0e87d361734c27302ef3a7009b6ae9ad9579c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$363.98
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-62.94
Win rate
48%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- NO
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
195 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.9¢·exp May 26, 2026$172.98
$-0.23
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 28.7¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$51.50
$22.80
- NO
Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
50 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 26, 2026$49.85
$2.35
- YES
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp May 26, 2026$44.40
$0.90
- NO
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
60 shares @ 73.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$34.50
$-9.30
- YES
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
50 shares @ 56.5¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.45
$-19.62
- NO
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
6 shares @ 59.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.14
$-2.40
- YES
Will Abraham Enriquez be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
49 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.03
$-7.81
- NO
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.10
$-1.75
- NO
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.03
$-2.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ron Eller be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?$50.00Apr 5, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$22.00Mar 20, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$0.43Mar 18, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?$1.03Mar 18, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$7.99Mar 18, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yasmeen Bankole be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$20.00Mar 18, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?$49.00Mar 18, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$99.98Mar 18, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?$120.35Mar 18, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$10.00Mar 18, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$22.99Mar 18, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$24.00Mar 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$9.76Mar 17, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$36.95Mar 17, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$18.04Mar 17, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$9.18Mar 16, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$17.39Mar 16, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?$0.66Mar 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$7.85Mar 16, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?$6.08Mar 16, 04:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $19.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".