Functional-Amenity
0xcf3ab1d53e2b1dc5aa7d6481f4960476d60251fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$15.82
Total PnL
$-73.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
15 shares @ 47.3¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$-0.73
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$-3.38
- YES
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
4 shares @ 51.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-1.06
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
35 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$7.15May 4, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Palestine" in April?$6.20Apr 2, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$3.80Mar 23, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)$5.00Mar 8, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Islamic Revolutionary Guard" or "Iranian Revolutionary Guard" this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 8, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$5.00Mar 8, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$4.50Mar 8, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$2.30Mar 1, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.60Mar 1, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$1.80Feb 28, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.86Feb 28, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$6.67Feb 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Feb 23, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.04Feb 12, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.00Jan 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Jan 27, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?$3.00Jan 10, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".