Tight-Cravat
0xcf4481153bc3863f3fbe217518e39a8a7ee0445b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$23.89
Total PnL
$-27.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
24 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$23.89
$0.13
- NO
Will Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
18 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-17.82
- NO
Will the Japan Innovation Party win between 35 and 39 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?$23.77May 18, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$16.00May 17, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$15.85May 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?$16.98May 12, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?$16.51May 11, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$19.00May 8, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$18.82May 7, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?$21.79May 5, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?$21.58May 4, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$19.96Apr 30, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$19.62Apr 30, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$19.98Apr 28, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$19.78Apr 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$21.78Apr 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$21.45Apr 20, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$23.00Apr 19, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$22.77Apr 16, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$17.00Apr 11, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$17.99Apr 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$24.94Apr 10, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $19.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".