0xcfb94da5ceee608d2b5dee84654d583791f5e328
0xcfb94da5ceee608d2b5dee84654d583791f5e328
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$25.30
Total PnL
$-750.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
50598 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$25.30
$-87.33
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
113060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-113.06
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
73990 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-147.98
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
24495 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-48.99
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
22616 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-113.08
- YES
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
12923 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.49
- YES
Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
3712 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.79
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
2873 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.79
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
2563 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.79
- YES
Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1485 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Joel Embiid lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?$24.49Mar 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$9.79Mar 17, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$9.79Mar 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 17?$113.12Mar 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$24.49Mar 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$9.79Mar 17, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 18?$48.99Mar 17, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$48.99Mar 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$49.40Mar 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$49.40Mar 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$49.18Mar 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$112.68Mar 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$113.08Mar 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$113.06Mar 17, 23:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $55.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 23:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".