Pesky-Volatility
0xcfbd688c31cd75b58a19af09e8b2ff31264c17c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$5.19
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
884 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$884.00
$167.96
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
218 shares @ 61.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$178.76
$45.78
- YES
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.00
$2.04
- NO
Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.64
$-0.74
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?
838 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-435.76
- YES
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
774 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-263.16
- NO
Will "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
658 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-111.86
- YES
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?
559 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-324.22
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
254 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-111.76
- NO
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
234 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-191.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$716.04Apr 23, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?$0.82Apr 17, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?$310.00Apr 17, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$406.00Apr 17, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?$324.22Apr 7, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?$323.19Mar 30, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?$323.19Mar 30, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBlast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? $324.12Mar 26, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? $354.78Mar 25, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?$354.69Mar 24, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?$389.85Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLClavicular charged again by June 30?$389.22Mar 22, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular charged again by June 30?$414.17Mar 20, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 10% and 15%?$92.96Mar 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$321.16Mar 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 10% and 15%?$127.82Mar 18, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$315.98Mar 17, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$10.64Mar 16, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$12.18Mar 16, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$12.88Mar 16, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $167.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".