Baggy-Alder
0xcfc40658dd05c1e1ce7c8b1c2b346bfcc3e2c423
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-6.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
5354 shares @ 63.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$-801.76
- YES
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
5706 shares @ 14.8¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$416.51
$-429.73
- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
26 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
6 shares @ 86.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$10.20May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$1.00May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$2.04May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$1.00May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$5.00May 17, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.10May 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.10May 16, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$1.00May 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.10May 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.10May 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$12.80May 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$3.05May 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.08May 10, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.08May 8, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1.02May 7, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$10.16May 7, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?$1.01May 7, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$12.20May 7, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?$1.01May 7, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.09May 7, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".