Frosty-Funding
0xcfce2a14ab7a79a76ce11ce035e8b0c8804280c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$182.32
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
1200 shares @ 70.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$917.98
$72.78
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 18, 2026$485.75
$35.75
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
492 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$273.05
$7.38
- YES
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?
198 shares @ 77.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$185.84
$31.92
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
400 shares @ 56.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$152.00
$-72.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
200 shares @ 51.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.00
$49.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
197 shares @ 47.0¢·now 27.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.52
$-38.94
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
275 shares @ 10.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.43
$15.43
- NO
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$34.48
$9.49
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
330 shares @ 26.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.08
$-80.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$0.73May 18, 02:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.33May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.67May 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.25May 17, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$0.12May 17, 08:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$0.33May 16, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.25May 16, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$18.31May 16, 01:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?$5.62May 15, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$28.28May 15, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?$28.53May 15, 07:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?$0.62May 14, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$450.00May 14, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?$0.77May 14, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?$104.49May 14, 07:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $29.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".