Pessimistic-Ski-Texture
0xcfdceaac4912b9a56ce2d837269270c0bff85a2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$10.8K
Total PnL
$892.95
Realised
$356.40
Win rate
78%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
1001 shares @ 83.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$941.14
$107.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1300 shares @ 69.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$890.50
$-10.50
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
600 shares @ 87.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$543.25
$17.03
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 22.7¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$506.99
$52.55
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
500 shares @ 71.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$477.83
$121.34
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
500 shares @ 89.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$447.49
$-1.70
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
500 shares @ 76.8¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$384.99
$1.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
400 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$378.40
$5.20
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
400 shares @ 91.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$374.20
$6.80
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
387 shares @ 89.1¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$373.01
$28.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$219.00May 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$186.00May 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$72.34May 18, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.39May 18, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$0.82May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$6.61May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$85.00May 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$12.44May 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$94.00May 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$76.00May 18, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$153.19May 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$10.63May 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$15.60May 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.15May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.54May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$14.00May 18, 02:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.00May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$114.24May 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$45.50May 17, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $78.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".