Constant-Flag
0xcfebb9100778b9ed7d3e6354440edf3e85163365
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$129.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
3377 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.1K
$84.42
- NO
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
1600 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.6K
$60.20
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
3000 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$495.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
200 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$199.09
$2.10
- YES
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?
71 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$70.29
$7.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$12.9KMay 18, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?$333.10May 17, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?$2.7KMay 17, 10:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$299.97May 15, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$300.00May 15, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$303.59May 15, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$499.40May 15, 13:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$145.34May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$34.44May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$44.74May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$115.49May 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$200.08May 14, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.26May 14, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$500.00May 14, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1000.00May 14, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$2.0KMay 14, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $211.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".