Closed-Application
0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$54.9K
Total PnL
$7.7K
Realised
$-440.04
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
25000 shares @ 90.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.2K
$562.50
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
13931 shares @ 24.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.0K
$4.5K
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
8895 shares @ 30.4¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.2K
$539.97
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4191 shares @ 72.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.2K
$158.23
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
3273 shares @ 93.2¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$111.29
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 75.7¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$-22.40
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
2612 shares @ 61.4¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$795.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
5717 shares @ 7.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$1.7K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$25.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2500 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$37.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.51May 18, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.98May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?$193.07May 17, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.50May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$72.69May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.5KMay 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$775.80May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.90May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.45May 16, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 16, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 16, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?$0.00May 16, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$0.00May 16, 12:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.89May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.50May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.8KMay 15, 17:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$65.54May 15, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$390.00May 15, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.1KMay 15, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $440.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".