Threadbare-Following
0xd104c45ba5fffa5b1dc96329008560d392d8dc11
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$145.67
Total PnL
$-11.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
145 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$143.64
$-0.07
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.03
$0.81
- BRUINS
Sabres vs. Bruins
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- UTAH
Utah vs. Golden Knights
7 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Flyers
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Hawks
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- SABRES
Canadiens vs. Sabres
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$143.76May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$143.81May 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$144.17May 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.23May 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?$145.32May 17, 02:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?$145.22May 16, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$143.07May 16, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$2.17May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$143.31May 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$143.30May 16, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$142.69May 14, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$1.44May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$144.14May 14, 14:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$144.71May 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$143.80May 13, 14:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $97.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".