Threadbare-Pumpernickel
0xd1091712f4ed0e17261feb174f5c080977506fa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$39.6K
Total PnL
$14.2K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
29183 shares @ 46.2¢·now 92.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.9K
$13.4K
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
3612 shares @ 70.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.6K
$1.0K
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
3325 shares @ 77.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.3K
$729.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
2712 shares @ 92.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.7K
$175.22
- NO
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?
2529 shares @ 87.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.5K
$231.60
- NO
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?
365 shares @ 28.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$334.40
$231.97
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
1763 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$238.00
$-413.79
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
510 shares @ 46.5¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.41
$-177.73
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
202 shares @ 64.0¢·now 27.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.34
$-74.16
- NO
New Half-Life game by June 30?
17 shares @ 60.2¢·now 81.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.15
$3.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$954.98May 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$454.99May 17, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$148.50May 17, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$174.63May 17, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$66.86May 17, 02:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.60May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$461.11May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$14.89May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$106.86May 16, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$27.06May 16, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$19.45May 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$19.17May 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$67.22May 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$21.62May 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$20.01May 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$2.76May 16, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$177.61May 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$15.87May 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$34.14May 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$11.50May 16, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $106.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".