Heavy-Gumshoe
0xd1248eda74f3c9c697d6aa57ab9bbe07fb5c85a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$147.76
Total PnL
$23.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
92 shares @ 21.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.34
$46.34
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
65 shares @ 22.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.93
$6.93
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.90
$11.90
- YES
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
43 shares @ 23.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.57
$-2.43
- YES
Will Rocker Steiner win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Stetson Wright win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will T.J. Gray win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
The American Rodeo Championship: Rocker Steiner Repeat?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$4.71
$-0.29
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.93
$-1.07
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
51 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.64
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Petersen win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$2.06May 14, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T.J. Gray win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$2.05May 14, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$6.14May 13, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$1.04May 13, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$1.05May 13, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$17.06May 13, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.25May 13, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 10, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wacey Schalla win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$2.05May 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T.J. Gray win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$3.08May 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stetson Wright win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$5.12May 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocker Steiner win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$5.11May 10, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe American Rodeo Championship: Rocker Steiner Repeat?$5.11May 10, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 8, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.18May 8, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?$2.10May 8, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$1.05May 8, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?$5.23May 8, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.00May 2, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$2.11May 2, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".